{
  "schemaVersion": "0.1",
  "id": "startup-current-decision-20260715",
  "checkedAt": "2026-07-15T22:30:56+08:00",
  "purpose": "Current go/no-go decision table for the GEO publishing startup based on existing gates and evidence.",
  "sourceEvidence": {
    "objectiveAudit": "data/objective-completion-audit-20260715.json",
    "chargeableGate": "data/chargeable-mvp-gate-20260715.json",
    "evidenceLadder": "data/geo-outcome-evidence-ladder-current-20260715.json",
    "pagesdevBrowserAuth": "data/pagesdev-ai-browser-test-authorization-readiness-latest.json",
    "pagesdevPromptPack": "data/pagesdev-ai-prompt-copy-pack-20260715.json",
    "geoBb78FallbackState": "data/geo-bb78-fallback-execution-state-latest.json",
    "geoBb78MediaRules": "data/geo-bb78-media-rule-inspection-readiness-latest.json",
    "marketValidation": "data/geo-diagnostic-market-validation-readiness-latest.json",
    "prospectReadiness": "data/geo-diagnostic-prospect-list-readiness-latest.json",
    "cloudflareGray": "data/cloudflare-pages-gray-deployment-result-20260714.json"
  },
  "oneLineDecision": "现在应卖 7 天 GEO 证据诊断，不应开放客户充值发文；自有站 AI 监测 pilot 已具备可测条件，但需要明确授权执行外部 AI 测试。",
  "tracks": [
    {
      "trackId": "diagnostic-service",
      "name": "7 天 GEO 证据诊断 + AI 可见性基线",
      "status": "go",
      "score": 82,
      "currentEvidence": [
        "chargeableGate=consulting-and-evidence-audit-chargeable-paid-publishing-not-open",
        "marketValidation=ready-to-prepare-outreach-not-launched",
        "prospectReadiness=awaiting-prospect-list"
      ],
      "blockers": [
        "尚未跑真实客户，但交付物和验收边界已足够开始小范围销售。"
      ],
      "nextUnlock": "准备 10 个潜在客户名单，用户授权后进行市场验证触达。",
      "allowedNow": [
        "对外销售证据审核、问法蒸馏、主张风险评估、公开 URL 可抓取检查、AI 测试计划和报告。"
      ],
      "forbiddenNow": [
        "不得承诺 AI 收录、推荐、排名或模型认知改变。"
      ]
    },
    {
      "trackId": "controlled-site-ai-monitoring",
      "name": "自有站 AI 可见性监测 pilot",
      "status": "conditional",
      "score": 64,
      "currentEvidence": [
        "pagesdevLevel=E3-public-crawlable",
        "currentCampaignLevel=E3-public-crawlable",
        "browserAuth=awaiting-user-browser-ai-test-authorization",
        "promptFiles=16"
      ],
      "blockers": [
        "pages.dev 可抓取，但未获授权打开 AI 平台实测；AI 结果仍为空。"
      ],
      "nextUnlock": "授权执行默认豆包 direct-url 第一条，记录原始回答和截图，再扩展到 8 条 G1/G2。",
      "allowedNow": [
        "可本地准备提示词、执行计划和记录器。"
      ],
      "forbiddenNow": [
        "未授权前不得打开 AI 平台；不得声明 AI 已读取或自然推荐。"
      ]
    },
    {
      "trackId": "external-media-publishing",
      "name": "geo.bb78 / 外部媒体发稿验证",
      "status": "no-go",
      "score": 42,
      "currentEvidence": [
        "jjppLevel=E2-backend-published",
        "cnblogsFallbackLevel=E1-media-entry-or-controlled-url-ready",
        "geoBb78State=awaiting-readonly-backend-inspection-authorization",
        "mediaRules=awaiting-user-readonly-inspection-authorization"
      ],
      "blockers": [
        "中国家居品牌网当前仅后台已发布，公开 URL fetch-failed。",
        "博客园复投只到入口和草稿阶段，未核验规则/价格，未投稿。"
      ],
      "nextUnlock": "只读核验博客园规则、价格、品牌名限制和二次确认；之后再单独请求最终投稿授权。",
      "allowedNow": [
        "可继续本地准备草稿、提交包、公开 URL 入库和 AI 复测批次。"
      ],
      "forbiddenNow": [
        "未核验规则/未最终授权前不得付费投稿；公开 URL 未通过 E3 前不得 AI 测试。"
      ]
    },
    {
      "trackId": "customer-recharge-publishing",
      "name": "客户充值发文平台",
      "status": "no-go",
      "score": 26,
      "currentEvidence": [
        "canOpenCustomerRechargePublishing=false",
        "objectiveAudit=in-progress-not-complete"
      ],
      "blockers": [
        "没有生产级合同、发票、退款、余额扣费和客户授权闭环。",
        "没有稳定 L4/L5 自然推荐证据。",
        "外媒发布不等于公开可抓取，公开可抓取不等于 AI 采用。"
      ],
      "nextUnlock": "先完成诊断服务市场验证和自有站监测 pilot；充值系统只能在结果承诺边界、支付和退款模型成熟后再做。",
      "allowedNow": [
        "只可做 sample-only 台账、流程演示和后台规格设计。"
      ],
      "forbiddenNow": [
        "不得收客户充值余额；不得让客户购买 AI 结果。"
      ]
    },
    {
      "trackId": "ai-outcome-guarantee",
      "name": "AI 收录/推荐/排名/模型认知改变承诺",
      "status": "permanent-no-go",
      "score": 0,
      "currentEvidence": [
        "canSellOutcomePromise=false",
        "cleanL4L5Evidence=not-proven"
      ],
      "blockers": [
        "AI 抓取、检索、回答生成和模型训练吸收不可控。",
        "当前证据不足以证明稳定自然推荐，更不能保证未来维持。"
      ],
      "nextUnlock": "不解锁。只能销售过程服务、证据交付和监测报告。",
      "allowedNow": [
        "可描述测试结果和证据等级。"
      ],
      "forbiddenNow": [
        "不得承诺结果；不得包装成改变大模型认知的确定性服务。"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "immediateOperatingPosition": {
    "primaryOffer": "7 天 GEO 证据诊断 + AI 可见性基线",
    "primaryProofAsset": "https://lucheng-geo.pages.dev/articles/lucheng-balcony-window-candidate-evidence.html",
    "nextExternalActionNeedingAuthorization": "执行 rp-20260714-doubao-g1 豆包 direct-url 测试并保存原始回答和截图",
    "fallbackExternalActionNeedingAuthorization": "只读打开 geo.bb78 博客园投稿入口查看规则/价格"
  },
  "decisionSummary": {
    "go": [
      "diagnostic-service"
    ],
    "conditional": [
      "controlled-site-ai-monitoring"
    ],
    "noGo": [
      "external-media-publishing",
      "customer-recharge-publishing"
    ],
    "permanentNoGo": [
      "ai-outcome-guarantee"
    ]
  },
  "hardBoundaries": [
    "不把后台已发布写成公开可抓取。",
    "不把公开可抓取写成 AI 已采用。",
    "不把 direct-url 读取写成泛类目自然推荐。",
    "不把历史渠道样本迁移成当前客户成功案例。",
    "不开放客户充值发文，不销售 AI 结果承诺。"
  ]
}